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Qual 472018 Curie Division
Red435
2067160.2
1025182.2
263160.8
Blue354
3244163.0
6032131.5
2175173.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37734802006008001,0001,2001,4001,600435354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#41
182.20.5
179.7→179.2
Auto23.1
Teleop134.0
End26.1
red by 8.5
2175
#40
173.81.0
171.3→172.3
Auto23.4
Teleop126.6
End25.6
Second
263
#22
160.80.1
158.9→159.0
Auto18.9
Teleop123.1
End21.9
blue by 2.2
3244
#19
163.01.5
159.1→160.7
Auto23.0
Teleop112.2
End31.6
Third
2067
#18
160.20.0
158.2→158.2
Auto22.0
Teleop115.3
End24.5
red by 28.7
6032
#66
131.50.4
132.5→132.1
Auto15.9
Teleop103.0
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed