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Red201
126149.2
2265109.2
5687197.6
Blue189
3244163.0
7103142.7
4607138.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385313100200500600201189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#11
197.60.5
201.6202.0
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End20.8
red by 34.7
3244
#19
163.00.8
161.8162.6
Auto23.0
Teleop112.2
End31.6
Second
126
#26
149.22.0
147.6149.5
Auto20.0
Teleop108.3
End20.3
red by 6.5
7103
#48
142.70.6
143.0143.7
Auto19.6
Teleop105.5
End19.8
Third
2265
#55
109.21.3
109.1110.4
Auto17.0
Teleop81.5
End11.0
blue by 29.3
4607
#65
138.50.2
140.6140.8
Auto16.7
Teleop105.8
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed