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Red353
20169.3
167170.3
1025182.2
Blue432
2054193.5
316182.3
2638167.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360361250300400450353432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#41
182.20.5
179.4180.0
Auto23.1
Teleop134.0
End26.1
blue by 11.3
193.51.1
189.8190.9
Auto23.0
Teleop136.3
End34.2
Second
167
#51
170.31.6
173.7172.1
Auto20.8
Teleop130.0
End18.3
blue by 12.0
316
#45
182.30.4
182.6182.2
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
Third
20
#8
169.30.6
166.6167.2
Auto20.7
Teleop126.4
End21.4
red by 1.9
2638
#28
167.41.1
168.6167.4
Auto18.0
Teleop124.5
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsEarned40%Face the Boss oddsEarned