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Red164
4814138.4
4903165.5
7198132.8
Blue419
4607138.5
70177.8
3082137.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3043820100200500600700164419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#38
165.51.5
170.2168.8
Auto24.3
Teleop119.5
End20.2
blue by 12.3
70
#13
177.80.4
179.1178.7
Auto21.8
Teleop135.4
End17.3
Second
4814
#57
138.40.6
140.5139.9
Auto18.9
Teleop105.9
End13.6
blue by 0.1
4607
#65
138.50.5
140.8140.4
Auto16.7
Teleop105.8
End12.4
Third
7198
#44
132.80.6
132.1132.7
Auto18.5
Teleop93.6
End21.8
blue by 4.9
3082
#52
137.70.4
137.0137.4
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End26.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed