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Red241
5553145.2
379190.9
7103142.7
Blue437
230217.8
558162.2
236155.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314422100200500600241437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#50
190.90.3
193.5193.2
Auto23.7
Teleop138.9
End24.7
blue by 26.9
230
#6
217.80.5
214.3214.8
Auto23.8
Teleop168.1
End25.3
Second
5553
#27
145.20.5
144.9145.4
Auto17.9
Teleop108.1
End19.7
blue by 17.1
558
#14
162.21.2
159.8160.9
Auto22.4
Teleop113.5
End27.5
Third
7103
#48
142.70.1
143.5143.4
Auto19.6
Teleop105.5
End19.8
blue by 12.8
236
#17
155.51.3
152.7154.1
Auto20.6
Teleop116.6
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed48%Face the Boss oddsEarned