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Red395
3314176.6
1747198.3
70177.8
Blue316
4655173.0
1025182.2
3082137.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions429279100200500600700395316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#12
198.30.6
195.2195.8
Auto24.7
Teleop150.7
End24.2
red by 16.1
1025
#41
182.20.8
180.5181.3
Auto23.1
Teleop134.0
End26.1
Second
70
#13
177.80.6
178.7178.1
Auto21.8
Teleop135.4
End17.3
red by 4.9
4655
#60
173.00.0
172.8172.7
Auto20.5
Teleop130.1
End22.3
Third
3314
#20
176.60.9
178.0177.1
Auto23.7
Teleop122.6
End31.8
red by 38.9
3082
#52
137.70.0
137.4137.5
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End26.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
70%Face the Boss oddsEarned40%Face the Boss oddsMissed