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Red386
611144.0
1076118.6
5962118.3
Blue391
4855186.9
6753168.1
4308136.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267418100200300500600700800386391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#31
144.01.0
141.3142.3
Auto17.8
Teleop102.7
End24.5
blue by 42.9
186.90.0
186.7186.7
Auto20.8
Teleop138.9
End28.5
Second
1076
#62
118.60.9
116.1117.0
Auto16.2
Teleop85.2
End18.5
blue by 49.5
6753
#50
168.10.7
169.1168.5
Auto23.1
Teleop122.5
End22.6
Third
5962
#60
118.30.6
116.3116.9
Auto20.1
Teleop84.4
End14.8
blue by 18.1
4308
#52
136.40.1
136.0136.1
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsEarned