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Red442
4539220.7
4855186.9
145147.8
Blue304
329137.0
5517160.9
1305213.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409336200300500600700442304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.72.0
217.8219.7
Auto28.0
Teleop159.1
End35.5
red by 7.5
1305
#42
213.20.8
214.6213.8
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
Second
186.90.1
186.7186.8
Auto20.8
Teleop138.9
End28.5
red by 25.9
5517
#15
160.90.5
161.4160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop118.3
End23.4
Third
145
#25
147.80.2
148.0147.8
Auto21.4
Teleop106.8
End20.1
red by 10.8
329
#64
137.00.0
137.0137.0
Auto14.9
Teleop104.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
45%Face the Boss oddsEarned53%Face the Boss oddsMissed