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Red291
4481150.5
888180.3
6753168.1
Blue427
3637158.5
33202.7
2512148.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34138305001,0001,5002,000291427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#35
180.30.6
180.9180.3
Auto19.6
Teleop128.9
End30.0
blue by 22.4
33
#27
202.71.0
204.3203.2
Auto23.5
Teleop150.5
End26.3
Second
6753
#50
168.10.4
168.5168.1
Auto23.1
Teleop122.5
End22.6
red by 9.6
3637
#58
158.50.8
159.3158.5
Auto17.3
Teleop118.2
End21.5
Third
4481
#40
150.50.5
151.9151.4
Auto21.9
Teleop115.4
End14.8
red by 2.1
2512
#51
148.30.7
149.0148.3
Auto21.9
Teleop112.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed35%Face the Boss oddsMissed