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Red380
346173.4
2706179.6
3175128.1
Blue404
5030163.5
7153112.0
663161.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4172800100200500600700380404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#26
179.60.3
180.9180.6
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
red by 16.1
5030
#49
163.50.2
163.7163.5
Auto19.1
Teleop127.6
End16.3
Second
346
#11
173.40.3
173.0173.3
Auto21.8
Teleop119.4
End31.6
red by 11.8
663
#24
161.60.6
161.0161.6
Auto18.7
Teleop122.0
End24.6
Third
3175
#46
128.10.8
127.3128.1
Auto16.2
Teleop89.9
End22.1
red by 16.2
7153
#57
112.01.3
110.6112.0
Auto16.3
Teleop82.5
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed