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Red220
401149.8
5962118.3
3236165.6
Blue459
1796228.6
3950128.9
610231.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242488100200300400600700800220459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3236
#34
165.60.1
163.6163.5
Auto20.1
Teleop120.0
End26.7
blue by 66.0
610
#33
231.50.0
242.9242.9
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
Second
401
#16
149.80.2
150.5150.7
Auto23.2
Teleop110.3
End16.6
blue by 78.8
1796
#28
228.61.2
226.3227.5
Auto27.9
Teleop174.9
End24.0
Third
5962
#60
118.30.0
121.1121.1
Auto20.1
Teleop84.4
End14.8
blue by 10.6
3950
#61
128.90.9
120.8121.7
Auto16.5
Teleop100.0
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed48%Face the Boss oddsMissed