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Red427
4855186.9
614157.7
5561161.3
Blue218
481198.1
2729146.5
3637158.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4002280100300500600700427218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.91.5
175.7177.2
Auto20.8
Teleop138.9
End28.5
red by 28.4
3637
#58
158.51.0
165.7164.7
Auto17.3
Teleop118.2
End21.5
Second
161.31.7
165.6163.9
Auto18.9
Teleop114.5
End30.8
red by 14.9
2729
#20
146.50.1
142.3142.4
Auto25.0
Teleop99.6
End23.6
Third
614
#38
157.70.0
152.5152.5
Auto21.1
Teleop120.0
End15.2
red by 59.6
4811
#66
98.10.7
98.898.1
Auto15.7
Teleop75.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed