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Red290
3950128.9
1739113.8
2013185.2
Blue350
5561161.3
2706179.6
469166.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2514420100200300400500600290350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#36
185.21.1
171.1172.2
Auto24.0
Teleop135.6
End24.0
red by 5.6
2706
#26
179.61.1
178.4179.5
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
Second
3950
#61
128.90.5
122.2122.7
Auto16.5
Teleop100.0
End11.9
blue by 37.2
469
#8DQ
166.11.7
157.6159.4
Auto19.1
Teleop116.2
End29.6
Third
1739
#67
113.81.8
120.7119.0
Auto17.2
Teleop81.3
End14.8
blue by 47.6
161.30.5
163.9163.4
Auto18.9
Teleop114.5
End30.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed49%Face the Boss oddsMissed