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Red391
145147.8
4481150.5
3175128.1
Blue365
5148142.8
5962118.3
6868107.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3952270100300500600700391365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4481
#40
150.50.6
150.2150.8
Auto21.9
Teleop115.4
End14.8
red by 7.6
5148
#48
142.80.2
133.6133.8
Auto19.4
Teleop110.3
End14.5
Second
145
#25
147.81.2
143.6144.8
Auto21.4
Teleop106.8
End20.1
red by 29.5
5962
#60
118.31.8
119.8118.0
Auto20.1
Teleop84.4
End14.8
Third
3175
#46
128.10.6
127.2126.6
Auto16.2
Teleop89.9
End22.1
red by 20.3
6868
#54
107.80.1
107.9107.8
Auto15.1
Teleop79.1
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed