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Red454
1629215.1
3683182.5
6964119.0
Blue283
1305213.2
6868107.8
245184.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357360250300400450454283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
215.10.0
212.3212.2
Auto25.5
Teleop162.3
End25.8
red by 1.9
1305
#42
213.20.7
217.7217.1
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
Second
3683
#19
182.50.5
179.0179.5
Auto20.7
Teleop134.2
End28.2
blue by 2.2
245
#29
184.70.1
185.9185.8
Auto20.2
Teleop133.5
End31.3
Third
6964
#65
119.00.1
116.1116.2
Auto18.3
Teleop83.5
End19.6
red by 11.2
6868
#54
107.80.5
107.8108.4
Auto15.1
Teleop79.1
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsEarned54%Face the Boss oddsMissed