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Red308
3171167.4
2877186.2
3534173.7
Blue451
4539220.7
469166.1
4466134.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39233601,0001,5002,0002,5003,000308451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.20.5
183.4183.8
Auto24.3
Teleop143.5
End19.1
blue by 34.5
220.70.8
209.9210.7
Auto28.0
Teleop159.1
End35.5
Second
3534
#23
173.70.0
171.0171.0
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
red by 7.6
469
#8
166.11.5
160.3161.8
Auto19.1
Teleop116.2
End29.6
Third
3171
#59
167.41.1
175.0173.9
Auto19.4
Teleop124.2
End24.5
red by 33.2
4466
#47
134.20.2
132.7132.9
Auto18.8
Teleop97.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsEarned