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Red279
2512148.3
747168.7
3950128.9
Blue512
663161.6
836158.7
2767239.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2624380100200300400500600700279512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
#21
168.70.8
163.4164.2
Auto21.3
Teleop127.5
End18.1
blue by 70.7
239.50.5
237.7237.2
Auto23.8
Teleop171.3
End42.8
Second
2512
#51
148.30.1
147.9147.9
Auto21.9
Teleop112.1
End13.8
blue by 13.2
663
#24
161.61.1
156.5157.6
Auto18.7
Teleop122.0
End24.6
Third
3950
#61
128.91.8
123.6125.4
Auto16.5
Teleop100.0
End11.9
blue by 29.8
836
#22
158.72.0
162.1160.0
Auto20.4
Teleop122.5
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed72%Face the Boss oddsEarned