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Red450
5030163.5
401149.8
33202.7
Blue275
74157.7
4027158.6
4327133.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052950100200500600450275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#27
202.71.6
208.1206.6
Auto23.5
Teleop150.5
End26.3
red by 44.1
4027
#41
158.60.0
156.7156.8
Auto24.4
Teleop115.5
End15.7
Second
5030
#49
163.50.0
162.4162.4
Auto19.1
Teleop127.6
End16.3
red by 5.7
74
#56
157.71.4
164.2162.8
Auto20.2
Teleop123.4
End12.3
Third
401
#16
149.80.8
149.1149.9
Auto23.2
Teleop110.3
End16.6
red by 16.4
4327
#53
133.40.6
129.9130.6
Auto16.1
Teleop100.2
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed