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Red190
3637158.5
4308136.4
3950128.9
Blue440
245184.7
3534173.7
5148142.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294406100200500600700190440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#58
158.50.6
162.7162.1
Auto17.3
Teleop118.2
End21.5
blue by 26.2
245
#29
184.70.9
185.8184.9
Auto20.2
Teleop133.5
End31.3
Second
4308
#52
136.40.7
135.0135.7
Auto19.7
Teleop101.8
End16.3
blue by 37.3
3534
#23
173.70.4
171.0170.7
Auto17.9
Teleop133.0
End26.4
Third
3950
#61
128.91.5
125.4126.8
Auto16.5
Teleop100.0
End11.9
blue by 14.0
5148
#48
142.81.7
134.6136.3
Auto19.4
Teleop110.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsEarned