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Red339
614157.7
3175128.1
747168.7
Blue442
188176.7
27202.1
1076118.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296386100200500600700339442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
#21
168.70.7
164.2165.0
Auto21.3
Teleop127.5
End18.1
blue by 33.4
27
#14
202.10.1
195.3195.3
Auto22.9
Teleop150.7
End28.9
Second
614
#38
157.71.1
155.7156.8
Auto21.1
Teleop120.0
End15.2
blue by 19.0
188
#13
176.70.7
170.6171.4
Auto22.0
Teleop132.3
End24.2
Third
3175
#46
128.10.2
126.2126.0
Auto16.2
Teleop89.9
End22.1
red by 9.5
1076
#62
118.60.1
114.7114.8
Auto16.2
Teleop85.2
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed31%Face the Boss oddsEarned