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Red266
4466134.2
1076118.6
1189180.4
Blue449
2708179.7
145147.8
610231.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2534690100200300400600700800266449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#32
180.40.6
177.7178.3
Auto20.6
Teleop132.9
End28.7
blue by 51.1
610
#33
231.51.5
240.6239.1
Auto24.0
Teleop169.4
End33.3
Second
4466
#47
134.20.1
133.6133.7
Auto18.8
Teleop97.9
End17.9
blue by 45.4
2708
#39
179.70.8
178.1178.9
Auto23.1
Teleop137.6
End18.6
Third
1076
#62
118.60.7
114.8115.4
Auto16.2
Teleop85.2
End18.5
blue by 29.2
145
#25
147.80.6
146.2146.8
Auto21.4
Teleop106.8
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsMissed