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Red251
747168.7
4855186.9
2170168.4
Blue406
6868107.8
2783153.9
1796228.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365356300400251406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.91.1
185.7186.7
Auto20.8
Teleop138.9
End28.5
blue by 41.7
1796
#28
228.60.2
230.6230.8
Auto27.9
Teleop174.9
End24.0
Second
747
#21
168.71.6
166.0167.6
Auto21.3
Teleop127.5
End18.1
red by 14.8
2783
#44
153.91.4
150.2151.5
Auto17.2
Teleop117.6
End18.9
Third
2170
#37
168.40.8
169.1169.8
Auto25.9
Teleop122.7
End16.8
red by 60.6
6868
#54
107.80.3
107.9107.5
Auto15.1
Teleop79.1
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed