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Red418
611144.0
3637158.5
3175128.1
Blue343
2512148.3
1305213.2
4327133.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2744120100200500600418343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#58
158.51.2
160.9159.7
Auto17.3
Teleop118.2
End21.5
blue by 54.7
1305
#42
213.20.1
214.9214.9
Auto23.0
Teleop156.2
End30.4
Second
611
#31
144.00.5
140.8141.3
Auto17.8
Teleop102.7
End24.5
blue by 4.4
2512
#51
148.30.3
148.6148.9
Auto21.9
Teleop112.1
End13.8
Third
3175
#46
128.10.2
126.3126.6
Auto16.2
Teleop89.9
End22.1
blue by 5.3
4327
#53
133.40.9
131.2132.1
Auto16.1
Teleop100.2
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed46%Face the Boss oddsMissed