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Red501
245184.7
6753168.1
3236165.6
Blue208
4466134.2
1739113.8
663161.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4512600100200300400500600501208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#29
184.70.3
184.7185.0
Auto20.2
Teleop133.5
End31.3
red by 23.1
663
#24
161.60.6
160.3160.8
Auto18.7
Teleop122.0
End24.6
Second
6753
#50
168.11.0
170.2169.1
Auto23.1
Teleop122.5
End22.6
red by 33.8
4466
#47
134.20.2
133.7133.9
Auto18.8
Teleop97.9
End17.9
Third
3236
#34
165.60.5
163.6164.1
Auto20.1
Teleop120.0
End26.7
red by 51.8
1739
#67
113.80.8
115.4114.6
Auto17.2
Teleop81.3
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
66%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed