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Red428
188176.7
2706179.6
747168.7
Blue329
4362194.3
2729146.5
329137.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377324100200500600700428329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#26
179.60.8
176.6177.3
Auto20.0
Teleop135.1
End22.0
blue by 14.7
194.30.1
191.6191.5
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
Second
188
#13
176.71.3
163.1164.5
Auto22.0
Teleop132.3
End24.2
red by 30.3
2729
#20
146.50.1
142.4142.3
Auto25.0
Teleop99.6
End23.6
Third
747
#21
168.71.1
159.1160.1
Auto21.3
Teleop127.5
End18.1
red by 31.7
329
#64
137.01.1
141.8140.7
Auto14.9
Teleop104.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed