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Red293
4362194.3
5561161.3
7153112.0
Blue435
1024202.5
4466134.2
2877186.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307397100200500600293435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.30.8
191.7192.5
Auto18.2
Teleop154.6
End23.6
blue by 8.2
1024
#12
202.50.8
200.1200.8
Auto21.2
Teleop150.8
End31.2
Second
161.31.0
162.9162.0
Auto18.9
Teleop114.5
End30.8
blue by 24.8
186.20.3
184.3184.6
Auto24.3
Teleop143.5
End19.1
Third
7153
#57
112.01.3
109.3110.6
Auto16.3
Teleop82.5
End16.2
blue by 22.3
4466
#47
134.20.1
133.9133.8
Auto18.8
Teleop97.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
66%Face the Boss oddsEarned21%Face the Boss oddsMissed