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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Darwin Division
Red333
4028193.8
56201.7
1391182.1
Blue258
2834193.2
4946178.9
2791201.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37338501,0001,5002,0002,500333258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#1
201.70.2
203.4→203.2
Auto25.6
Teleop142.5
End30.9
red by 0.7
2791
#25
201.00.1
200.9→201.0
Auto20.7
Teleop147.9
End28.7
Second
4028
#11
193.80.1
193.8→193.9
Auto20.0
Teleop138.7
End33.7
red by 0.5
2834
#20
193.20.1
193.2→193.3
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
Third
1391
#12
182.10.1
182.0→182.1
Auto21.7
Teleop129.5
End30.6
red by 3.2
4946
#9
178.90.2
178.6→178.8
Auto23.7
Teleop133.9
End16.6