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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Darwin Division
Red362
2451183.7
2481207.1
5406215.6
Blue324
3130199.4
234204.2
1519187.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39933905001,0001,500362324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5406
#2
215.60.2
214.7→214.8
Auto23.7
Teleop152.0
End41.3
red by 11.4
234
#8
204.20.4
203.5→203.9
Auto27.6
Teleop141.7
End37.3
Second
2481
#33
207.10.3
208.4→208.0
Auto23.5
Teleop168.4
End15.6
red by 7.8
3130
#49
199.40.4
198.6→199.0
Auto24.4
Teleop149.3
End25.1
Third
2451
#32
183.70.4
185.0→184.7
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
blue by 4.2
1519
#18
187.90.2
187.5→187.8
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2