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Red472
3572152.8
2791201.0
6936122.5
Blue249
1418173.1
4122137.1
4645101.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862910100200500600700472249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#25
201.00.7
201.6200.9
Auto20.7
Teleop147.9
End28.7
red by 27.9
1418
#48
173.10.5
174.5174.0
Auto22.0
Teleop123.1
End29.9
Second
3572
#35
152.81.3
154.1152.8
Auto19.9
Teleop110.2
End22.7
red by 15.7
4122
#58
137.10.6
136.4137.1
Auto20.5
Teleop103.2
End13.8
Third
6936
#29
122.51.1
121.4122.5
Auto17.3
Teleop82.7
End24.9
red by 21.0
4645
#59
101.52.0
99.5101.5
Auto14.5
Teleop76.6
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
69%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed