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Qual 192018 Darwin Division
Red249
4645101.5
3535153.4
5492151.5
Blue427
6869148.2
5914144.6
2834193.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275406100200500600700800249427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3535
#41
153.41.4
156.2→154.7
Auto20.4
Teleop112.9
End23.3
blue by 39.8
2834
#20
193.20.9
194.6→193.6
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
Second
5492
#56
151.52.2
145.6→147.8
Auto15.2
Teleop109.5
End21.2
red by 3.3
6869
#21
148.20.2
145.0→144.7
Auto17.2
Teleop113.1
End18.6
Third
4645
#59
101.50.8
90.3→91.1
Auto14.5
Teleop76.6
End11.5
blue by 43.1
5914
#27
144.62.0
133.7→135.7
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned