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Qual 242018 Darwin Division
Red351
5234164.3
2481207.1
125209.2
Blue295
177203.3
3542183.1
5434150.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439283100200400500600700800351295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#10
209.20.7
212.7→212.0
Auto24.2
Teleop162.1
End18.4
red by 5.9
177
#14Sur
203.30.8
202.2→203.0
Auto20.3
Teleop147.5
End33.3
Second
2481
#33Sur
207.10.3
215.5→215.8
Auto23.5
Teleop168.4
End15.6
red by 24.0
3542
#5
183.11.2
169.8→171.0
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
Third
5234
#31
164.31.3
171.0→169.7
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
red by 13.8
5434
#51
150.40.1
144.0→144.1
Auto25.4
Teleop110.1
End15.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed69%Face the Boss oddsEarned