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Red414
3542183.1
5492151.5
250133.0
Blue355
4458153.5
2501154.1
3461175.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349365200250300400450500550414355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
183.10.1
169.1169.0
Auto23.4
Teleop132.4
End30.3
red by 7.9
3461
#22
175.20.1
166.9166.8
Auto20.6
Teleop131.8
End20.9
Second
5492
#56
151.51.8
143.7145.6
Auto15.2
Teleop109.5
End21.2
blue by 2.6
2501
#50
154.11.6
146.0147.6
Auto19.0
Teleop111.2
End23.7
Third
250
#66
133.00.1
133.1133.2
Auto17.3
Teleop99.7
End12.8
blue by 20.5
4458
#34
153.50.1
152.4152.3
Auto19.1
Teleop106.9
End28.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsEarned