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Qual 382018 Darwin Division
Red261
4122137.1
78175.1
5339119.5
Blue433
1519187.9
5443112.6
5740138.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324319250300350400450261433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#42
175.10.4
175.8→176.2
Auto22.0
Teleop125.9
End27.6
blue by 12.8
1519
#18
187.90.8
181.6→182.4
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2
Second
4122
#58
137.10.5
135.3→135.8
Auto20.5
Teleop103.2
End13.8
blue by 1.5
5740
#45
138.50.0
138.0→138.0
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End17.6
Third
5339
#54
119.51.0
119.0→120.0
Auto18.4
Teleop85.8
End14.7
red by 6.9
5443
#43
112.60.1
106.8→106.9
Auto15.2
Teleop72.7
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed