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Qual 402018 Darwin Division
Red446
234204.2
176199.9
6869148.2
Blue342
247144.5
2834193.2
2791201.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3583870100200300500600700446342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#8
204.21.4
192.4→193.8
Auto27.6
Teleop141.7
End37.3
red by 3.2
2791
#25
201.00.4
205.9→206.3
Auto20.7
Teleop147.9
End28.7
Second
176
#4
199.90.0
192.5→192.6
Auto23.0
Teleop153.8
End21.9
red by 6.6
2834
#20
193.20.2
193.4→193.2
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
Third
6869
#21
148.20.2
145.2→145.4
Auto17.2
Teleop113.1
End18.6
red by 3.7
247
#37
144.50.4
149.4→149.0
Auto17.4
Teleop105.6
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsEarned72%Face the Boss oddsEarned