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Red316
1418173.1
2337206.0
3572152.8
Blue381
1391182.1
4198159.5
3536181.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40132802006008001,0001,200316381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#13
206.00.3
207.5207.2
Auto23.6
Teleop157.9
End21.1
red by 23.9
1391
#12
182.11.6
175.6177.3
Auto21.7
Teleop129.5
End30.6
Second
1418
#48
173.10.4
174.3174.7
Auto22.0
Teleop123.1
End29.9
blue by 8.3
181.40.2
177.3177.1
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
Third
3572
#35
152.80.3
157.2157.5
Auto19.9
Teleop110.2
End22.7
blue by 6.7
4198
#24
159.50.7
153.6154.3
Auto18.4
Teleop116.1
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
51%Face the Boss oddsEarned62%Face the Boss oddsEarned