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Red199
6193164.7
4905155.6
5740138.5
Blue502
494210.4
2451183.7
234204.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2414750100200300400600700800199502

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6193
#39
164.70.5
166.0166.5
Auto18.7
Teleop124.4
End17.2
blue by 45.7
494
#6
210.40.6
214.2213.5
Auto21.6
Teleop161.2
End26.0
Second
4905
#62
155.60.2
158.9158.6
Auto18.5
Teleop112.6
End22.4
blue by 48.6
234
#8
204.22.0
193.8195.8
Auto27.6
Teleop141.7
End37.3
Third
5740
#45
138.50.8
138.0138.8
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End17.6
blue by 45.2
2451
#32
183.70.3
191.5191.2
Auto20.6
Teleop144.1
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed39%Face the Boss oddsEarned