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Qual 52018 Darwin Division
Red292
2834193.2
977147.4
1018170.4
Blue458
6193164.7
56201.7
3695170.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337396100200300500600700292458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#20
193.21.1
195.6→194.6
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
blue by 8.5
56
#1
201.70.2
200.2→200.4
Auto25.6
Teleop142.5
End30.9
Second
1018
#46
170.40.8
171.5→170.7
Auto22.4
Teleop131.0
End14.3
blue by 0.4
3695
#47
170.81.5
173.1→174.6
Auto19.7
Teleop125.1
End25.6
Third
977
#57
147.40.5
147.1→146.6
Auto18.2
Teleop105.3
End25.5
blue by 17.2
6193
#39
164.71.2
167.7→166.6
Auto18.7
Teleop124.4
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed51%Face the Boss oddsEarned