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Red301
1018170.4
6869148.2
6590129.6
Blue215
5339119.5
1418173.1
6947106.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375270100200300500600301215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#46
170.40.7
169.0169.7
Auto22.4
Teleop131.0
End14.3
blue by 2.7
1418
#48
173.10.1
174.7174.6
Auto22.0
Teleop123.1
End29.9
Second
6869
#21
148.21.7
146.4148.1
Auto17.2
Teleop113.1
End18.6
red by 28.7
5339
#54
119.50.5
120.6120.1
Auto18.4
Teleop85.8
End14.7
Third
6590
#61
129.60.7
132.1131.4
Auto19.3
Teleop96.8
End14.9
red by 23.2
6947
#44
106.40.4
103.7103.3
Auto17.0
Teleop81.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed