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Red311
250133.0
1391182.1
2834193.2
Blue423
578170.3
4028193.8
494210.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303437200400500600700311423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#20
193.20.1
192.8192.9
Auto22.3
Teleop144.0
End24.6
blue by 17.2
494
#6
210.40.9
213.2212.3
Auto21.6
Teleop161.2
End26.0
Second
1391
#12
182.10.8
179.1179.9
Auto21.7
Teleop129.5
End30.6
blue by 11.6
4028
#11
193.81.6
188.5190.0
Auto20.0
Teleop138.7
End33.7
Third
250
#66
133.00.0
134.3134.4
Auto17.3
Teleop99.7
End12.8
blue by 37.3
578
#26
170.30.9
167.4168.3
Auto19.0
Teleop131.9
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
45%Face the Boss oddsMissed49%Face the Boss oddsEarned