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Qual 72018 Darwin Division
Red301
4905155.6
857136.3
5234164.3
Blue428
5406215.6
3536181.4
6869148.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2974260200600800301428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5234
#31
164.31.9
174.4→172.4
Auto23.6
Teleop123.0
End19.0
blue by 51.4
5406
#2
215.60.6
206.1→206.6
Auto23.7
Teleop152.0
End41.3
Second
4905
#62
155.60.3
158.2→158.5
Auto18.5
Teleop112.6
End22.4
blue by 25.8
3536
#3
181.40.1
176.8→176.9
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
Third
857
#65
136.30.4
138.1→138.5
Auto16.8
Teleop100.2
End16.8
blue by 11.9
6869
#21
148.21.2
146.2→145.0
Auto17.2
Teleop113.1
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
62%Face the Boss oddsMissed84%Face the Boss oddsEarned