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Qual 852018 Darwin Division
Red454
3536181.4
5740138.5
78175.1
Blue257
977147.4
1711159.4
247144.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3973090100200500600454257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#3
181.40.8
178.3→179.1
Auto21.2
Teleop131.3
End28.9
red by 22.0
1711
#64
159.40.3
158.9→159.2
Auto17.2
Teleop126.3
End18.9
Second
78
#42
175.10.8
175.9→175.2
Auto22.0
Teleop125.9
End27.6
red by 27.7
977
#57
147.40.6
146.7→147.3
Auto18.2
Teleop105.3
End25.5
Third
5740
#45
138.50.0
138.5→138.5
Auto18.0
Teleop100.2
End17.6
blue by 6.0
247
#37
144.50.8
146.9→146.1
Auto17.4
Teleop105.6
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
51%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed