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Red364
4917210.7
1519187.9
3504154.6
Blue223
3695170.8
5883190.0
5406215.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353411100200300500600700364223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#23
210.70.4
207.8208.2
Auto25.6
Teleop152.8
End30.3
blue by 4.9
215.62.4
212.0214.3
Auto23.7
Teleop152.0
End41.3
Second
1519
#18
187.90.9
185.2186.1
Auto22.8
Teleop145.5
End21.2
blue by 2.1
5883
#28
190.00.1
192.7192.6
Auto21.1
Teleop141.2
End26.4
Third
3504
#63
154.60.3
156.7156.4
Auto22.6
Teleop111.8
End19.8
blue by 16.2
3695
#47
170.81.1
176.3175.2
Auto19.7
Teleop125.1
End25.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed83%Face the Boss oddsEarned