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Quarterfinal 2-22018 EMCC
Red329
4239151.6
2502171.3
5638134.3
Blue213
2846152.1
2491159.1
4207136.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338324200250300400450329213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#2
171.30.5
169.6→170.1
Auto21.4
Teleop118.3
End32.5
red by 12.3
2491
#3
159.10.1
159.1→159.1
Auto23.3
Teleop117.5
End16.6
Second
4239
#5
151.60.5
150.0→150.5
Auto19.8
Teleop114.5
End17.2
blue by 0.5
2846
#18
152.10.3
151.8→152.1
Auto21.5
Teleop121.1
End10.1
Third
5638
#20
134.30.2
133.8→133.9
Auto15.7
Teleop107.9
End7.4
blue by 1.9
4207
#17
136.20.1
136.1→136.2
Auto18.0
Teleop107.4
End10.2