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Qual 112018 EMCC
Red228
2501148.7
2530111.5
3184140.0
Blue346
3100132.8
4239151.6
2846152.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2293610100300400500600700228346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2501
#14
148.70.9
153.3→152.3
Auto18.1
Teleop110.4
End21.1
blue by 3.4
2846
#18
152.11.0
149.9→148.9
Auto21.5
Teleop121.1
End10.1
Second
3184
#24
140.01.8
146.5→144.8
Auto16.8
Teleop107.6
End13.8
blue by 11.6
4239
#5
151.60.6
143.7→144.3
Auto19.8
Teleop114.5
End17.2
Third
2530
#16
111.50.8
107.2→106.3
Auto15.2
Teleop84.2
End14.7
blue by 21.3
3100
#23
132.82.6
144.5→141.8
Auto17.6
Teleop101.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed