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Qual 202018 EMCC
Red239
4207136.2
2220152.3
3100132.8
Blue441
1816148.0
2502171.3
2491159.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2863520100200400500600700239441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.30.4
152.3152.7
Auto21.8
Teleop116.4
End14.7
blue by 19.0
171.30.1
165.8165.6
Auto21.4
Teleop118.3
End32.5
Second
4207
#17
136.20.4
136.0135.5
Auto18.0
Teleop107.4
End10.2
blue by 22.8
159.10.2
155.5155.7
Auto23.3
Teleop117.5
End16.6
Third
3100
#23
132.81.7
139.8138.1
Auto17.6
Teleop101.5
End12.3
blue by 15.2
148.01.7
148.1146.3
Auto20.1
Teleop111.2
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed67%Face the Boss oddsEarned