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Qual 312018 EMCC
Red414
2502171.3
3206127.0
3102120.8
Blue297
2491159.1
2501148.7
7028136.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143560100200400500600414297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.30.4
166.6167.0
Auto21.4
Teleop118.3
End32.5
red by 12.3
159.11.3
157.0158.3
Auto23.3
Teleop117.5
End16.6
Second
127.00.6
127.0126.4
Auto14.5
Teleop101.3
End12.8
blue by 21.7
2501
#14
148.70.7
150.0149.3
Auto18.1
Teleop110.4
End21.1
Third
120.80.1
119.6119.5
Auto20.4
Teleop91.7
End10.0
blue by 16.1
7028
#13
136.90.7
135.7136.4
Auto17.3
Teleop97.1
End24.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed