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Red260
4471113.7
86145.1
6473102.8
Blue123
2916103.0
4481147.8
6145100.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26329302004006008001,0001,200260123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#6
145.113.1
102.8115.9
Auto22.2
Teleop108.0
End13.6
blue by 2.7
4481
#26
147.81.5
142.7144.2
Auto21.5
Teleop114.0
End12.8
Second
4471
#42
113.78.7
91.2100.0
Auto13.1
Teleop93.4
End6.1
red by 10.7
2916
#50
103.011.6
81.793.3
Auto14.5
Teleop85.0
End-0.3
Third
6473
#38
102.812.1
75.187.2
Auto12.7
Teleop88.6
End-0.6
red by 2.1
6145
#47
100.712.1
79.191.2
Auto13.6
Teleop80.2
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed