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Red299
1902141.3
21142.4
4562104.4
Blue127
5816116.0
945122.6
402498.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102280100200400500600299127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
#4
142.413.8
94.1107.9
Auto18.8
Teleop102.5
End22.2
red by 19.9
945
#52
122.69.1
91.1100.2
Auto15.7
Teleop94.5
End13.0
Second
141.312.6
99.1111.7
Auto25.7
Teleop101.2
End14.9
red by 25.3
5816
#45
116.010.0
91.3101.3
Auto14.2
Teleop88.4
End11.1
Third
4562
#36
104.412.2
74.386.5
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End0.5
red by 6.3
4024
#40
98.17.6
79.887.3
Auto12.4
Teleop74.7
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed