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Red187
1523138.4
685098.5
86145.1
Blue234
5753106.9
6722102.2
3242137.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112290100200400500187234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#6
145.18.6
115.9124.5
Auto22.2
Teleop108.0
End13.6
red by 7.4
137.711.9
99.9111.8
Auto15.9
Teleop104.7
End20.3
Second
1523
#10
138.45.1
117.9123.1
Auto20.6
Teleop102.3
End18.2
red by 31.5
5753
#54
106.93.3
92.095.4
Auto13.6
Teleop86.0
End6.5
Third
6850
#48
98.58.0
86.494.4
Auto15.6
Teleop75.9
End10.0
blue by 3.7
6722
#58
102.25.5
91.096.5
Auto11.5
Teleop85.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed