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Red302
386158.1
4064112.5
1251120.1
Blue196
2797123.3
5842143.9
21142.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252322100200400500600302196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#8
158.15.0
125.2130.1
Auto19.9
Teleop111.5
End27.2
red by 14.2
5842
#21
143.98.1
114.5122.6
Auto16.5
Teleop109.8
End15.6
Second
1251
#29
120.13.0
111.0114.0
Auto15.5
Teleop90.9
End15.1
blue by 22.3
21
#4
142.411.1
107.9119.0
Auto18.8
Teleop102.5
End22.2
Third
4064
#30
112.55.0
93.098.0
Auto12.8
Teleop86.7
End7.3
blue by 10.8
2797
#20
123.37.9
99.1106.9
Auto15.5
Teleop91.6
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed